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2024-12-13 05:34:14

1. The wording of proactive fiscal policy and deficit shows the determination to exceed expectations, and other contents are basically in line with my expectations. It is reasonable for the market to interpret it as a major positive, and the positive reaction of foreign capital may be related to its large-scale layout of China assets and call options in the early stage.Opening at 3500 tomorrow, interpretation of economic conference2. In my opinion, the advantages are mainly reflected in the fact that the management will continue to adhere to the general direction of expanding reform and opening up and vigorously developing the economy, and the loose monetary policy and proactive fiscal policy are also appropriate. It is my expectation to increase and improve people's livelihood and enhance people's sense of gain, happiness and security. I think this content is good, and the key lies in the implementation of specific measures and policies to achieve the above goals. Therefore, the content of the follow-up meeting may be more critical.


1. In 2025, a proactive fiscal policy will be implemented that exceeds market expectations. It is estimated that the fiscal deficit ratio will exceed 4%, and I predict it will be about 4.5%.The contents of the after-hours economic meeting were announced, and foreign capital and the media regarded the China stock index as a major positive; Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index and Singapore's A50 Index soared.2. After eleven years, the loose monetary policy is proposed again. Compared with the previous prudent policy, this easing will be more significant.


3. Tomorrow's sharp rise and general increase of China stock index will be a good opportunity to switch positions and exchange shares.3. Emphasis on stabilizing the property market and the stock market. Beijing rarely mentions the stock market, showing its importance.

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